How to deal with Plan Bs?


I am a Ph.D. candidate and yesterday I had a meeting with my advisor. My initial plan was to ask if I could have her support to apply for postdocs and completion dissertation fellowship as a backup plan. I knew I would already have her support to apply for the Visiting Assistant Professor position in my department that I also wanted to apply to as a kind of second back up after postdocs.

In this model in the R line I had to get a postdoc and if it did not work I could get the Visiting Assistant Professor position in my department and in last back up if I had not finished my dissertation, and needed funding, I could get a completion dissertation fellowship instead. (In order to apply for the Visiting Assistant Position I need to finish my dissertation by July 2020).

But my advisor advised me not to apply for postdoc, she thinks I would not be competitive and should just focus on finishing my dissertation and get the Visiting Assistant Professor position and apply to postdoc next year. I had negative thoughts about it at first, but have tried to change it so that it could feel truly great. So now I am thinking it is great that she actually thinks I can get something next year, and that she cares (it is insanely competitive) I am excited to fully commit to my dissertation this year and to apply next year to postdocs when I’ll be a competitive candidate. So here is my model

C: meeting with my advisor who advises me to apply for postdoc only next year and to apply for the Visiting Assistant Professor Position Instead
T :it is great that she actually thinks I can get something next year, I am excited to fully commit to my dissertation this year and to apply next year to postdocs when I’ll be a competitive candidate.
F good and excited
A Writing and finishing my dissertation
R get the visiting position in th Fall 2020 and get the postdoc in 2021

What I don’t know now is if I should really even apply to this completion dissertation fellowship or if it would be a waste of time? I convinced her too, my advisor would support me in my application, but if I had not brought it up I am not sure she would have highly recommended I think she would leave the door open. On the one hand I am thinking it can be a back up if I don’t get the Visiting Assistant Position, or even if I don’t finish my dissertation, so I think it would change the T line but also my Actions because it means I would spend time on this completion dissertation fellowship although it is only a kind of back up and not the most desirable result. At the same time, it feels good to have a back up because this Visiting Assistant Position is also competitive and I don’t know if I can get it, being an international student there might be issues too I don’t know.

What would you recommend? Should I just completely let go of the dissertation completion fellowship? I am also thinking that it could be a good practice to write one as a drill thing so the action would not totally be a waste? How could I incorporate it into my model in the result? could I have ” get the Visiting position and as a back up completion?” Would it be a contradictory result and I should just pick one? What should be my thoughts around that?

In general, do you have any recommendations on back up plans? Should we include them in results? Can they make us feel good too like reassured? I’ve tried to think about it through my future self but can’t get a convincing answer either.

Thank you so much for your help.